UkraineAlert Feb 04, 2022
 
 
 
 
 

Russian Hybrid Threats Report: Missile battalion confirmed in Belarus

By Digital Forensic Research Lab @DFRLab
via New Atlanticist

Over the past week, the Russian military buildup near Ukraine and in Crimea has continued at a steady pace. On February 3, the DFRLab confirmed the arrival of the 2nd S-400 Triumph Missile Battalion in Belarus at Luninets station, fifty kilometers from the Ukrainian border. Additional footage of S-400 Triumph anti-aircraft missile systems had first surfaced on February 2. This is the first time the DFRLab has observed S-400s inside Belarusian territory.

In addition, this week also saw the mobilization of Rosgvardiya units all throughout Russia, including the Kadyrov regiment from Chechnya, in the general direction of Ukraine. Rosgvardiya, the Russian national guard, could serve to hold territory in the event of an invasion.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
By Annie Froehlich
In response to Russian activity in and near Ukraine, the US is considering deploying a Russia-focused Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR). If such a rule is implemented, it could cripple Russia's ability to source critical items produced from US-origin technology.

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By Iulian Romanyshyn
To European advocates of realpolitik, the idea of a neutral Ukraine may sound like an easy sell. But the notion that Vladimir Putin would then agree to leave the country in peace is fatally flawed.

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THE POWER VERTICAL
 
 
 
By Brian Whitmore   @PowerVertical
As more than 100,000 Russian troops continue to encircle Ukraine and as Moscow begins shipping supplies of blood and plasma to the front, war fears are very much in the air.

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Report launch | February 8, 2:00 p.m. (ET)
A new Atlantic Council Strategy Paper lays out a vision for a long-term and mutually beneficial relationship between the United States and Russia. Hear from the authors and other experts.

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